Kathianne
09-07-2023, 10:46 AM
We've done this, the answer to our problems starts with getting rid of Biden AND Trump:
https://www.wsj.com/articles/the-gops-big-2024-problem-wsj-polling-indictments-e3c52288?st=pxdj75nk5ju9fut&reflink=desktopwebshare_permalink
OPINIONREVIEW & OUTLOOK
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The GOP’s Big 2024 Problem
A WSJ poll finds indictments are helping Trump in the Republican primaries, but not with all voters.
By The Editorial Board
Updated Sept. 4, 2023 5:58 pm ET
OPINION: POTOMAC WATCH
WSJ Opinion Potomac Watch
The poll finds that in a 2024 general-election test President Biden and the former President are tied at 46%. Given Mr. Trump’s myriad legal problems, this shows how weak an incumbent Mr. Biden is. But a poll this far out from Election Day also doesn’t tell you much given how events can change.
The better insight comes when respondents were asked: “Do Donald Trump’s indictments make you more likely or less likely to vote for him, or have no impact on whether or not you would vote for Donald Trump?”
Among Republican primary voters, here are the responses: More likely to vote for Mr. Trump 48%; less likely 16%, and no effect on their vote 36%.
That result confirms what we’ve seen this year, which is that the indictments by Democratic prosecutors are helping Mr. Trump win the GOP’s presidential nod. The biggest jump in Mr. Trump’s support came after the first indictment for hush-money payments by Manhattan district attorney Alvin Bragg, and the other indictments changed that very little. This is exactly the result that Democrats want: Keep the focus on Mr. Trump so he wins the nomination, and then convict him in trials before the general election in November.
That strategy is reinforced by the responses when the WSJ survey asked registered voters the same question about the indictments. Their responses: 24% were more likely to vote for Mr. Trump, but 37% were less likely, and 35% said it would have no effect.
The Republican peril is that more than one-and-a-half times as many voters say the indictments make them less likely to vote for Mr. Trump than more likely. This reflects the tilt of independent voters, as well as the 16% of GOP voters who say the indictments make them less likely to vote for Mr. Trump.
These responses are before any of the coming four trials, three of which are already scheduled before the 2024 general election. An acquittal or hung jury could work in Mr. Trump’s favor, which is why the Democratic indictment strategy is high risk.
But one or more convictions would probably confirm the judgment of voters who say they are less likely to vote for Mr. Trump. If Republicans nominate Mr. Trump, they are likely to be sailing into a political headwind that will be difficult to overcome.
https://www.wsj.com/articles/the-gops-big-2024-problem-wsj-polling-indictments-e3c52288?st=pxdj75nk5ju9fut&reflink=desktopwebshare_permalink
OPINIONREVIEW & OUTLOOK
Follow
The GOP’s Big 2024 Problem
A WSJ poll finds indictments are helping Trump in the Republican primaries, but not with all voters.
By The Editorial Board
Updated Sept. 4, 2023 5:58 pm ET
OPINION: POTOMAC WATCH
WSJ Opinion Potomac Watch
The poll finds that in a 2024 general-election test President Biden and the former President are tied at 46%. Given Mr. Trump’s myriad legal problems, this shows how weak an incumbent Mr. Biden is. But a poll this far out from Election Day also doesn’t tell you much given how events can change.
The better insight comes when respondents were asked: “Do Donald Trump’s indictments make you more likely or less likely to vote for him, or have no impact on whether or not you would vote for Donald Trump?”
Among Republican primary voters, here are the responses: More likely to vote for Mr. Trump 48%; less likely 16%, and no effect on their vote 36%.
That result confirms what we’ve seen this year, which is that the indictments by Democratic prosecutors are helping Mr. Trump win the GOP’s presidential nod. The biggest jump in Mr. Trump’s support came after the first indictment for hush-money payments by Manhattan district attorney Alvin Bragg, and the other indictments changed that very little. This is exactly the result that Democrats want: Keep the focus on Mr. Trump so he wins the nomination, and then convict him in trials before the general election in November.
That strategy is reinforced by the responses when the WSJ survey asked registered voters the same question about the indictments. Their responses: 24% were more likely to vote for Mr. Trump, but 37% were less likely, and 35% said it would have no effect.
The Republican peril is that more than one-and-a-half times as many voters say the indictments make them less likely to vote for Mr. Trump than more likely. This reflects the tilt of independent voters, as well as the 16% of GOP voters who say the indictments make them less likely to vote for Mr. Trump.
These responses are before any of the coming four trials, three of which are already scheduled before the 2024 general election. An acquittal or hung jury could work in Mr. Trump’s favor, which is why the Democratic indictment strategy is high risk.
But one or more convictions would probably confirm the judgment of voters who say they are less likely to vote for Mr. Trump. If Republicans nominate Mr. Trump, they are likely to be sailing into a political headwind that will be difficult to overcome.