The incorrect cv-19 projections, and what does it mean

[jimnyc]

They say fraudulently, I disagree, unless we're talking China. These are no more fraudulent and lies than anything else besides China. They are quickly evolving and adjusting as they go along, and trying to keep us informed. That's why such massive amount of changes in such a short time. I believe if there was anything malicious, they wouldn't be correcting things so quickly.

I also saw another model stating in the mid 40k deaths projected. Making it up? I don't think so, at least not fully and not malicious.

And no one knowing reality, and things changing so quickly, I don't think "now" would be the time to just say screw it, and open things all back up. I read elsewhere a good idea of say 14-21 days straight of things dropping off before that can happen, along with some other indicators.

But the projections sure have been way off, one way or another. And far from blaming, but mistakes do happen. And it's quite possible that we did just destroy our spectacular economy, and some companies gone forever, some completely out of a job. A lot of damage thus far from this virus. And if it turns out ultimately that it was less deadly than the flu for example. While the left now complains that Trump didn't act fast enough, those very same people will be complaining that Trump overreacted about this and that and cost us this amount of money. We all know that's true. But the fact is, there is no one to blame. Well, except for China, which is very different.

I suppose I would rather they got it very wrong and we'll all be passionately discussing this down the road. Better than business as usual and half of us dead down the road. :dunno:

--

The Completely Fraudulent COVID-19 Fatality Timeline: From 40 Million... to 2 Million... to 200,000... to 81,766... to 60,415 Deaths

** On March 16th, British “experts” at Imperial College in Great Britain warned of 40,000,000 global coronavirus deaths if the West did not act and shut down society.

The prediction included 1 million to 2 million deaths in the US.

** On Sunday March 29th the “experts” reduced their estimates to 100,000 to 200,000 deaths in the United States.

** On Sunday April 5th the IHME “experts” again dropped their estimates to 81,766 coronavirus deaths in the United States by August.

On Wednesday April 8th the IHME dropped their estimates again down to 60,415 deaths by August.

THE “EXPERTS” HAVE DECREASED THEIR US CORONAVIRUS ESTIMATES FROM 2 MILLION DEATHS TO 60,000 DEATHS IN LESS THAN A MONTH.

They are literally making it up as they go along.

Open the economy.

https://www.thegatewaypundit.com/2020/04/completely-fraudulent-covid-19-fatality-timeline-40-million-2-million-200000-81766-60415-deaths/

[jimnyc]

Another angle of food for thought. And this doesn't mean shit going forward, as things can pickup, perhaps return and return until a vaccine comes out. And if it continues with such numbers? I say be happy if so.

--

This Is Strange: Total US Deaths in March 2020 are Actually Down 15% from Average of Prior Four Years

What is going on? After shutting down the government and killing the greatest economy in the world due to deathly estimates from specialists on the coronavirus, the data is showing that this may be one great big mistake or hoax.

Grassfire reports:


According to data obtained from the CDC’s National Center for Health Statistics Mortality Surveillance System website, total U.S. deaths for the first three weeks of March are DOWN 10% from the average of the prior four years for the same three week period.

The average for weeks 9 through 11 for the four prior years was a total of 170,555 deaths. For weeks 9 through 11 this year, the total is 153,015, meaning 17,540 fewer people died in America during the first three weeks of March than could be reasonably expected. And the gap between historic deaths and weekly deaths is widening. For week 11, just 47,655 Americans died, 8,773 and 15% fewer than the average for week 11 in the prior four years. And while data on week 12 is not complete, it is trending similar to week 11 and will likely be down by 15% (around 8,700 deaths less than expected) even though 1,919 COVID-19 deaths were reported (in week beginning 3/22).

Now after deaths for the entire month of March are reported, the results show that deaths in the US this March are 15% less than the average of the past four years!

IN MARCH OF 2020 THERE WERE 34,000 (rounded) LESS DEATHS THAN THE AVERAGE NUMBER OF DEATHS IN THE US OVER THE FOUR YEARS PRIOR!

According to the CDC’s website, in March 2020 there were a total of 193,000 deaths in the US. The average number of deaths in the US for March over the four years prior to 2020 (2016 – 2019) is 227,000. The difference between this year and the average for the past four years is 34,000. 2020 deaths are 85% of the average of the prior four years.

The US is experiencing 34,000 less deaths in 2020 than in the prior four years but we are concerned about a virus that to date as of March 31, 2020 that had a total of 4,000 US deaths? What is really going on and who is responsible for the broken estimates and consistent messaging in the President’s ear to shut down the US economy?

https://www.thegatewaypundit.com/2020/04/strange-total-us-deaths-march-2020-actually-15-average-prior-four-years/