jimnyc
05-19-2019, 03:01 PM
Well, he better have some more of his "experts" working for him on his 2nd term. There are so many variable that are going to come into play, and he better not take anything for granted. He's got the left that have been pounding America with treason and Russia crap for 2 years already. Not going to jail and/or the Mueller report may not be sufficient. The economy sure as shit helps an awful lot. Like last time, and maybe worse, the candidates aren't exactly the greatest. At least last time you had a lot of Americans dying to see Hillary go into office. Unless something spectacular happens, the democrats just don't have 'that person'. But things can change and grow in just one week!
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Arnon Mishkin: Trump’s got some big bets on the table. If just a few turn his way, he’ll win a second term
OK, so here’s my bias: I’ve been very skeptical – particularly since the GOP lost the House as a wave of once reliably Republican suburban districts went Democratic – that President Trump would be able to repeat his 2016 victory and win a second term.
The strength of Trump’s challenge is apparent from all the recent polling. Although Voters give him high marks for the economy – with the latest Fox News poll showing that 48 percent approve of the job he’s doing maintaining a solid recovery and jobs growth – the same poll shows him with a lower approval overall. Few polls give him over 50 percent approval, as most show him stuck in the mid-40s
But it doesn’t stop there: A number of polls have been released showing how Trump appears likely to fare in a general election contest: The Fox News poll found that only 38 percent nationally said they would probably vote for Trump, while 54 percent said they’d probably vote for “someone else.”
Testing out a range of potential opponents, the Fox News poll indicated that his worst showing was against former Vice President Joe Biden, to whom he is seen losing 49 to 38 percent. Trump’s best "trial heat" is against national neophyte Pete Buttigieg. The South Bend mayor gets 40 percent while Trump gets 41 percent.
Regardless of Democratic candidate, Trump gets in a range of 38 percent to 41 percent support, in a head-to-head trial election. He’s the incumbent. He’s well-known. It’s very difficult to see an incumbent grow dramatically when polls show him that weak, particularly against fairly unknown opponents.
Rest - https://www.foxnews.com/opinion/arnon-mishkin-trump-bets-immigration-china-win-2020
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Arnon Mishkin: Trump’s got some big bets on the table. If just a few turn his way, he’ll win a second term
OK, so here’s my bias: I’ve been very skeptical – particularly since the GOP lost the House as a wave of once reliably Republican suburban districts went Democratic – that President Trump would be able to repeat his 2016 victory and win a second term.
The strength of Trump’s challenge is apparent from all the recent polling. Although Voters give him high marks for the economy – with the latest Fox News poll showing that 48 percent approve of the job he’s doing maintaining a solid recovery and jobs growth – the same poll shows him with a lower approval overall. Few polls give him over 50 percent approval, as most show him stuck in the mid-40s
But it doesn’t stop there: A number of polls have been released showing how Trump appears likely to fare in a general election contest: The Fox News poll found that only 38 percent nationally said they would probably vote for Trump, while 54 percent said they’d probably vote for “someone else.”
Testing out a range of potential opponents, the Fox News poll indicated that his worst showing was against former Vice President Joe Biden, to whom he is seen losing 49 to 38 percent. Trump’s best "trial heat" is against national neophyte Pete Buttigieg. The South Bend mayor gets 40 percent while Trump gets 41 percent.
Regardless of Democratic candidate, Trump gets in a range of 38 percent to 41 percent support, in a head-to-head trial election. He’s the incumbent. He’s well-known. It’s very difficult to see an incumbent grow dramatically when polls show him that weak, particularly against fairly unknown opponents.
Rest - https://www.foxnews.com/opinion/arnon-mishkin-trump-bets-immigration-china-win-2020