jimnyc
02-02-2018, 05:55 PM
There SHOULD still be momentum for the Dems, and of course more than enough time to switch. But the dummies are shooting themselves in the feet with nonstop crap about impeachment, Russia crap, obstruction, this memo & basically doing everything a republican can hope for in a midterm election.
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The Last Two Weeks of Polls Have Been Great for Republicans. Do They Signal a Shift?
The Democrats’ impressive lead in the generic congressional ballot has slipped.
Last month it seemed that Democrats might ride a giant tsunami to control of the House and Senate. Now, some are wondering whether there’s a Democratic wave at all.
The Democratic advantage on the generic congressional ballot, which asks people whether they’ll vote for Democrats or Republicans for Congress, has dwindled since the heart of the tax debate in December. Then, nearly all surveys put Republicans behind by double digits. Now, poll averages put the Democratic lead at only around six or seven percentage points.
The question isn’t really whether Republican standing has improved recently. It has. The question is whether anyone should care: Is it just one of many blips and bumps along the road, or does it say something meaningful about the midterm elections?
The short answer: Check back in a month.
The shift hasn’t lasted long enough to merit a reassessment of the national political environment. But there are reasons to think it could.
It can be hard to remember, but we’re still nine months from the election. In a presidential election year, the New Hampshire primary might be coming up next Tuesday. So it is quite early to care about every little bump on the congressional generic ballot trend line.
Rest - https://www.nytimes.com/2018/02/02/upshot/polls-midterm-election-republicans-democrats.html
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The Last Two Weeks of Polls Have Been Great for Republicans. Do They Signal a Shift?
The Democrats’ impressive lead in the generic congressional ballot has slipped.
Last month it seemed that Democrats might ride a giant tsunami to control of the House and Senate. Now, some are wondering whether there’s a Democratic wave at all.
The Democratic advantage on the generic congressional ballot, which asks people whether they’ll vote for Democrats or Republicans for Congress, has dwindled since the heart of the tax debate in December. Then, nearly all surveys put Republicans behind by double digits. Now, poll averages put the Democratic lead at only around six or seven percentage points.
The question isn’t really whether Republican standing has improved recently. It has. The question is whether anyone should care: Is it just one of many blips and bumps along the road, or does it say something meaningful about the midterm elections?
The short answer: Check back in a month.
The shift hasn’t lasted long enough to merit a reassessment of the national political environment. But there are reasons to think it could.
It can be hard to remember, but we’re still nine months from the election. In a presidential election year, the New Hampshire primary might be coming up next Tuesday. So it is quite early to care about every little bump on the congressional generic ballot trend line.
Rest - https://www.nytimes.com/2018/02/02/upshot/polls-midterm-election-republicans-democrats.html