Seeking 270: Which states can Trump win?

[gabosaurus]

No rhetoric or accusations here, just numbers. A presidential candidate needs 270 electoral votes to win.
Which states do you believe Trump needs to take in order to achieve that number?
Logic says the three big prizes are Florida, Ohio and Pennsylvania. Can Trump take any of them?

[jimnyc]

Even CNN has him currently leading Ohio as of yesterday.

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(CNN)Donald Trump has opened up a five-point lead over Hillary Clinton in Ohio, according to a new Bloomberg poll released Wednesday.
In a four-way race with third party candidates, the survey found Trump topping Clinton, 44%-39%, among the state's likely voters. Libertarian Party nominee Gary Johnson and Green Party nominee Jill Stein picked up the support of 10% and 3%, respectively.

Both Johnson and Stein will be on the ballot in Ohio, though Johnson will be listed as an independent and not as a libertarian.

http://www.cnn.com/2016/09/14/politics/bloomberg-poll-donald-trump-leads-hillary-clinton-ohio/