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View Full Version : The math to get Trump the nomination



jimnyc
03-08-2016, 08:35 AM
NEW YORK – Despite the Republican establishment’s “#NeverTrump” movement against the party’s presidential primary front-runner, Donald Trump’s campaign is positioned to advance this month.

Trump might even gain enough delegates by the end of March to reach the halfway point of the 1,237 needed to win the GOP presidential nomination on the first ballot.

Going into the week of March 7, Trump has 385 delegates versus 300 for Sen. Ted Cruz.

Cruz has surged since last Thursday’s Fox News debate, splitting with Trump the GOP elections held on Saturday. Cruz won the Kansas and Maine caucuses, while Trump took the primary contests in Kentucky and Louisiana.

On March 15, the GOP primary season enters a second phase, with “winner take all” contests in Ohio and Florida.

The previous elections were proportional, with each candidate obtaining delegates based on a percentage of the vote.

Based on the most recent polling data, Table 1 shows Trump obtaining more than 300 delegates in March primaries, with wins in both Ohio and Florida.

This would give Trump a total of nearly 700 delegates, with Cruz at about 400, presuming the Texas senator also loses the “winner- take-all” primaries in Missouri and Arizona, where Trump has commanding leads.

More data at link - http://www.wnd.com/2016/03/the-math-to-get-trump-the-nomination/