Pernicious
10-18-2014, 05:01 PM
http://www.debatepolicy.com/attachment.php?attachmentid=6678&stc=1
The 100th anniversary of World War I is a timely moment to analyze where Europe stands economically and politically since that tragic conflict. Top analysts warn that recent macroeconomic and geopolitical events are set to have a major impact on the Eurozone. What are their main concerns?
Geopolitical hurdles
Several geopolitical problems loom large for Europe today. Some experts see disturbing parallels between the European summer of 1914, given the magnitude of the current conflicts in the Middle East, the Mediterranean and Ukraine, which are neighboring geographic areas with Europe. Add to this scenario the Ebola virus, which has now gripped several African countries and threatens to spread worldwide.
According to the president of the Brookings Institution, Strobe Talbott, there is a real danger of conflict between large countries. In his assessment, the parallels between 1914 and 2014 are striking. Talbott notes three dangerous trends: global discontent with different systems of governance; the growth of new radical nationalisms; and the accumulation of conflicts that threaten global stability.
The veteran diplomat Henry Kissinger has just published the book “World Order,” which explains the gradual decomposition of the old world order established after WWII and warns of the enormous difficulty trying to build a new society, which should be based on both strength and legitimacy. The disintegration of the old order could lead to a new period of anarchy and confrontation.
Four forces are leading to this disintegration. The first is the progressive decline of the United States, compounded by successive mistakes of President Barack Obama’s foreign policy, and the persistent inability of Europe to take a truly global role. The second is the determination of radical Islam to impose totalitarianism on a large scale. The third is Russia’s attempt to recover lost territory after the collapse of the Soviet Union. And the fourth is China’s advancement toward economic and political leadership. In addition to these four forces, Iran’s efforts to become a nuclear military power and regional level are fueling greater tensions.
http://www.forbes.com/sites/iese/2014/10/16/tomorrows-europe-order-or-anarchy/
The 100th anniversary of World War I is a timely moment to analyze where Europe stands economically and politically since that tragic conflict. Top analysts warn that recent macroeconomic and geopolitical events are set to have a major impact on the Eurozone. What are their main concerns?
Geopolitical hurdles
Several geopolitical problems loom large for Europe today. Some experts see disturbing parallels between the European summer of 1914, given the magnitude of the current conflicts in the Middle East, the Mediterranean and Ukraine, which are neighboring geographic areas with Europe. Add to this scenario the Ebola virus, which has now gripped several African countries and threatens to spread worldwide.
According to the president of the Brookings Institution, Strobe Talbott, there is a real danger of conflict between large countries. In his assessment, the parallels between 1914 and 2014 are striking. Talbott notes three dangerous trends: global discontent with different systems of governance; the growth of new radical nationalisms; and the accumulation of conflicts that threaten global stability.
The veteran diplomat Henry Kissinger has just published the book “World Order,” which explains the gradual decomposition of the old world order established after WWII and warns of the enormous difficulty trying to build a new society, which should be based on both strength and legitimacy. The disintegration of the old order could lead to a new period of anarchy and confrontation.
Four forces are leading to this disintegration. The first is the progressive decline of the United States, compounded by successive mistakes of President Barack Obama’s foreign policy, and the persistent inability of Europe to take a truly global role. The second is the determination of radical Islam to impose totalitarianism on a large scale. The third is Russia’s attempt to recover lost territory after the collapse of the Soviet Union. And the fourth is China’s advancement toward economic and political leadership. In addition to these four forces, Iran’s efforts to become a nuclear military power and regional level are fueling greater tensions.
http://www.forbes.com/sites/iese/2014/10/16/tomorrows-europe-order-or-anarchy/