The coming population implosion [Archive] - Debate Policy

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KarlMarx

01-10-2013, 07:04 AM

he world’s seemingly relentless march toward overpopulation achieved a notable milestone in 2012: Somewhere on the planet, according to U.S. Census Bureau estimates, the 7 billionth living person came into existence.

Lucky No. 7,000,000,000 probably celebrated his or her birthday sometime in March and added to a population that’s already stressing the planet’s limited supplies of food, energy, and clean water. Should this trend continue, as the Los Angeles Times noted in a five-part series marking the occasion, by midcentury, “living conditions are likely to be bleak for much of humanity.”

A somewhat more arcane milestone, meanwhile, generated no media coverage at all: It took humankind 13 years to add its 7 billionth. That’s longer than the 12 years it took to add the 6 billionth—the first time in human history that interval had grown. (The 2 billionth, 3 billionth, 4 billionth, and 5 billionth took 123, 33, 14, and 13 years, respectively.) In other words, the rate of global population growth has slowed. And it’s expected to keep slowing. Indeed, according to experts’ best estimates, the total population of Earth will stop growing within the lifespan of people alive today.

the remainder of article at.....

http://www.slate.com/articles/technology/future_tense/2013/01/world_population_may_actually_start_declining_not_ exploding.html

fj1200

01-10-2013, 09:03 AM

And just wait until there are not enough young people to support the health care needs of all the old people. There won't be enough money to support all the end-of-life spending luxuries that seniors enjoy presently. I have a feeling that reality is not cooked in to the numbers.

MtnBiker

01-10-2013, 03:23 PM

jimnyc

01-10-2013, 03:25 PM

I've posted this quite a few times over the last few years, but worth a repeat!!

<iframe width="420" height="315" src="http://www.youtube.com/embed/FM1YU-Ni_84" frameborder="0" allowfullscreen></iframe>

MtnBiker

01-10-2013, 03:28 PM

the remainder of article at.....

http://www.slate.com/articles/technology/future_tense/2013/01/world_population_may_actually_start_declining_not_ exploding.html

Hmmm, when I saw this article it reminded me of a thread someone created here a long time ago. GW in Ohio was sure that the world's population was the root of all our troubles and by simply putting in policies it would curb such problems. http://www.debatepolicy.com/showthread.php?15804-Is-the-human-race-in-serious-trouble&highlight=population%2C

Kathianne

01-10-2013, 03:41 PM

Hmmm, when I saw this article it reminded me of a thread someone created here a long time ago. GW in Ohio was sure that the world's population was the root of all our troubles and by simply putting in policies it would curb such problems. http://www.debatepolicy.com/showthread.php?15804-Is-the-human-race-in-serious-trouble&highlight=population%2C

The warnings of the West and developed nations and low birth rates have been known for some time:

http://www.forbes.com/sites/currentevents/2012/10/16/warning-bell-for-developed-countries-declining-birth-rates/

http://www.guardian.co.uk/news/datablog/2010/may/19/european-birth-rates-data-germany

http://www.nytimes.com/2006/09/03/world/europe/03iht-birth.2683302.html?pagewanted=all&_r=0

Kathianne

01-10-2013, 03:50 PM

Indeed, hmmm

http://www.nationalreview.com/corner/136194/re-france-steyn-back-ya/mark-steyn

RE: FRANCE TO STEYN – BACK AT YA (http://www.nationalreview.com/corner/136194/re-france-steyn-back-ya/mark-steyn)
By Mark Steyn (http://www.nationalreview.com/author/200428)

January 18, 2007 1:01 A.M. (http://www.nationalreview.com/corner/136194/re-france-steyn-back-ya/mark-steyn)
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Kathryn posted on this story (http://www.breitbart.com/news/2007/01/16/D8MMH4RO0.html) on rising French fertility rates the other day and interpreted it as a refutation of my book. Apparently, Mimi and Fifi and Yvette and Solange are lying back and thinking of la belle France, and in doing so telling Steyn to stick a croissant in his escargot and smoke it.

Au contraire, I think France’s rising fertility rate is confirmation of my thesis – that native Europeans have given up breeding and Islam is inheriting the Continent by default. If that’s the case, then as Muslims increase as a percentage of the population so that country’s fertility rate will improve.

Do Muslims generally correlate with healthy birth rates in Europe? Yes. The only nations on the continent breeding at replacement rate are Turkey, Azerbaijan and Albania.

Do significant minorities of Muslims improve fertility rates? Yes. Of all those Continental nations below replacement-rate fertility, the top breeders are the Macedonians, whose population is 30% Muslim, which happens to be the largest Muslim minority in a European nation. [I’ve excluded war-ravaged Bosnia from the analysis, as, pace Derbyshire, rubble causes (statistical) trouble.]
Well, okay, forget Macedonia and stick to western Europe.

Which country has the healthiest fertility rate? France.

Which country has the most Muslims? France.

Which country has the second healthiest fertility rate on the western end of the Continent?
Denmark.

Which country has the second largest proportion of Muslims? Denmark.

Get the picture? Take France and its neighbors and rank them in order of healthiest fertility rates (2005 official Eurostat figures):

1) France
2) Netherlands
3) Belgium
4) Switzerland
5) Austria
6) Germany
7) Italy
8) Spain

Now rank them in order of highest proportion of Muslims (no central source, but compiled from national data, European Muslim groups, UN and State Dept figures):

1) France
2) Netherlands
3) Belgium
4) Switzerland
5) Austria
6) Germany
7) Italy
8) Spain

Hmm.