red states rule
10-28-2012, 10:10 AM
Damn, it is looking better and better for Mit (and America) with each passing day
Drip, drip, drip (http://cnsnews.com/news/article/gallup-obamas-job-approval-drops-7-points-3-days) with nine days to go:
In the most precipitous decline it has seen in more than a year, President Barack Obama's job approval rating has dropped 7 points in three days, according to Gallup. In the three-day period ending on Oct. 23, says Gallup, 53 percent said they approved of the job Obama was doing and 42 percent said they did not...On Oct. 26, it dropped yet again to 46 percent who said they approved and 49 percent who said they did not.
Bear in mind, this represents Obama's approval level even after Gallup abruptly changed its methodology (http://www.weeklystandard.com/blogs/morning-jay-politics-and-gallup-poll_654143.html) last month -- a move that appeared to favor Obama. Despite the new home cooking, Obama is still underwater by three points. In the head-to-head match up with Mitt Romney, the president trails by five points (http://www.gallup.com/home.aspx?ref=logo) among likely voters, 51/46. The good news? Historically speaking, both of these stats spell doom for Obama's electoral prospects. No incumbent president has gotten re-elected with these sorts of numbers. (PPP's latest has Obama's approve/disapprove at a dismal 44/52 (http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/pdf/2011/102510261027TrackingPoll.pdf)). The bad news? Obama could lose the popular vote (http://www.nationalreview.com/campaign-spot/331739/barring-some-sudden-change-romney-will-win-popular-vote) but win the electoral college. If Romney's apparent national momentum doesn't bleed into Ohio and/or Wisconsin, the beleaguered president might just get dragged across the 270 finish line. The Romney campaign has canceled three scheduled rallies (http://www.foxnews.com/politics/2012/10/27/hurricane-sandy-scrambles-campaign-schedule-romney-cancels-virginia-rallies/) in Virginia today, due to the impending hurricane. In some ways, GOP strategists may see this as a political blessing in disguise because it's freed the nominee up to return to the Buckeye State, where every last vote is critical. Romney will join Paul Ryan, who is already in the midst of a bus tour through Ohio. Barack Obama is clinging to a tiny lead in the state, though some data crunchers believe Obama's support in the polls may be overstated (http://www.politico.com/news/stories/1012/82948.html) because of early voting complications. As I reported on Friday, Romney will scoot over to Wisconsin (http://townhall.com/tipsheet/guybenson/2012/10/26/wisconsin_tied_at_49_romney_camp_running_ads_in_mi nnesota) tomorrow to address supporters in a state where the race is statistically deadlocked. Another extremely competitive Midwestern state is Iowa, where both campaigns are expecting things to come down to the wire. In a development that could boost the Republican ticket's chances, Iowa's largest newspaper has decided to endorse Romney. From the Des Moines Register editorial board (http://www.desmoinesregister.com/article/20121027/OPINION03/121026026/The-Register-endorsement-Mitt-Romney-offers-a-fresh-economic-vision?Frontpage):
http://townhall.com/tipsheet/guybenson/2012/10/28/gallup_obama_approval_dropping_romney_leads_by_fiv e
Drip, drip, drip (http://cnsnews.com/news/article/gallup-obamas-job-approval-drops-7-points-3-days) with nine days to go:
In the most precipitous decline it has seen in more than a year, President Barack Obama's job approval rating has dropped 7 points in three days, according to Gallup. In the three-day period ending on Oct. 23, says Gallup, 53 percent said they approved of the job Obama was doing and 42 percent said they did not...On Oct. 26, it dropped yet again to 46 percent who said they approved and 49 percent who said they did not.
Bear in mind, this represents Obama's approval level even after Gallup abruptly changed its methodology (http://www.weeklystandard.com/blogs/morning-jay-politics-and-gallup-poll_654143.html) last month -- a move that appeared to favor Obama. Despite the new home cooking, Obama is still underwater by three points. In the head-to-head match up with Mitt Romney, the president trails by five points (http://www.gallup.com/home.aspx?ref=logo) among likely voters, 51/46. The good news? Historically speaking, both of these stats spell doom for Obama's electoral prospects. No incumbent president has gotten re-elected with these sorts of numbers. (PPP's latest has Obama's approve/disapprove at a dismal 44/52 (http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/pdf/2011/102510261027TrackingPoll.pdf)). The bad news? Obama could lose the popular vote (http://www.nationalreview.com/campaign-spot/331739/barring-some-sudden-change-romney-will-win-popular-vote) but win the electoral college. If Romney's apparent national momentum doesn't bleed into Ohio and/or Wisconsin, the beleaguered president might just get dragged across the 270 finish line. The Romney campaign has canceled three scheduled rallies (http://www.foxnews.com/politics/2012/10/27/hurricane-sandy-scrambles-campaign-schedule-romney-cancels-virginia-rallies/) in Virginia today, due to the impending hurricane. In some ways, GOP strategists may see this as a political blessing in disguise because it's freed the nominee up to return to the Buckeye State, where every last vote is critical. Romney will join Paul Ryan, who is already in the midst of a bus tour through Ohio. Barack Obama is clinging to a tiny lead in the state, though some data crunchers believe Obama's support in the polls may be overstated (http://www.politico.com/news/stories/1012/82948.html) because of early voting complications. As I reported on Friday, Romney will scoot over to Wisconsin (http://townhall.com/tipsheet/guybenson/2012/10/26/wisconsin_tied_at_49_romney_camp_running_ads_in_mi nnesota) tomorrow to address supporters in a state where the race is statistically deadlocked. Another extremely competitive Midwestern state is Iowa, where both campaigns are expecting things to come down to the wire. In a development that could boost the Republican ticket's chances, Iowa's largest newspaper has decided to endorse Romney. From the Des Moines Register editorial board (http://www.desmoinesregister.com/article/20121027/OPINION03/121026026/The-Register-endorsement-Mitt-Romney-offers-a-fresh-economic-vision?Frontpage):
http://townhall.com/tipsheet/guybenson/2012/10/28/gallup_obama_approval_dropping_romney_leads_by_fiv e