PDA

View Full Version : Solar Storm Threat - Are you prepared?



SassyLady
06-10-2010, 08:03 PM
I know that this is old news but it still fascinates me because it's happened before.....as recent as 1989. Perhaps that sense of uneasiness that something is going to happen, which will cause all of us to go into survival mode, is due to the sixth sense in all of us and this is what we may be sensing....:eek:


Scientists: U.S. Not Prepared for Strong Solar Storm
Thursday, May 28, 2009
By Jim Dawson


For the scientists gathered recently for the 2009 Space Weather Enterprise Forum in Washington, D.C., the talk of the Earth being hit by catastrophic solar storms — both past and predicted — was almost casual, the currency of the work they do.

There was the legendary "Carrington Event," a series of magnetic storms from the sun that hit the Earth in August and September of 1859, disrupting telegraph
lines across the U.S. and triggering auroras so bright they turned the night skies into day as far south as the Caribbean. The storm went on for days.

They spoke of a solar storm in May of 1921 that stunned scientists with its power, and one in March of 1989 that blacked out the entire power grid in Quebec in just 92 seconds.

In 2003, the "Halloween storm" caused a massive blackout in the Northeast U.S. and $10 billion worth of damage to electrical systems.

• Click here to visit FOXNews.com's Space Center.

There are lessons to be learned from these past events, the researchers emphasized, and the danger posed by solar storms is increasing.

This growing threat comes not from changes in the Sun, but from the increasing dependence of human societies on technology and electricity.

A storm on the scale of the Carrington Event could damage the U.S. electrical grid to such an extent that vast regions of the country could be without power for weeks, perhaps months.

Without electricity, drinkable water would soon be in short supply, as would fuel, food, communications and just about everything else society depends on to function.

"The consequences would be almost incalculable," said Daniel Baker, director of the University of Colorado's laboratory for atmospheric and space physics.

An extreme solar storm hitting our modern, high-tech world would severely disrupt oil and gas supplies, emergency and government services, the banking and finance industry, and transportation. The cost of the damage could reach into the trillions of dollars, he said.

New electrical systems are designed to be efficient, which is different from being robust and hardened against the effects of a solar storm.

"There is an efficiency-vulnerability tradeoff," said George Mason University social scientist Todd LaPorte, who studies critical infrastructures. "Sometimes efficiency isn't your friend."

"Large storms can literally place millions of lives at risk," he said, and our growing dependence on technology is increasing that risk. "We should be preparing for a storm four to 10 times the intensity of the 1989 event [that blacked out Quebec]. There is a false sense of security."

The reason the danger posed by space weather is not drawing more concern from the federal government, electric utilities or the public was summed up by David Crain of the space systems division of ITT, an engineering and technology company.

"The problem with space weather is nobody directly dies of space weather, and that is a detriment in getting funding and increasing public education," he said.

Unlike hurricanes or floods, the damage caused by solar storms is to underlying systems and not obvious in terms of visible devastation.

Preparing for extreme solar storms also involves spending millions, even billions, of dollars, and it is difficult to get the government to spend significant money to prepare for an event that is merely predicted, the speakers agreed.

"We have a hard time thinking about anticipation," said LaPorte. "We tend to react to events, not anticipate them. We're not good at heeding warnings."

"We have developed a new awareness of the extremes of severe geomagnetic storms," said John Kappenman, founder of Storm Analysis Consultants and an expert on the vulnerability of the power grid to solar storms.

Proposed designs for the grid may actually escalate the risk, he said. "There is an unrecognized, system-wide risk to the grid [from solar storms]. ... There is no design code to minimize this threat."

The scientists were assured by officials from the Obama Administration's Office of Science and Technology Policy that the threats of space weather are a concern.

But because solar storms do not result in immediate, visible damage, the participants at the forum said public education is critical to developing and implementing a plan to mitigate the damage from a future extreme solar storm.

"But if you do too much of that, what you end up with in the public is disaster fatigue," Crain said.

http://www.foxnews.com/story/0,2933,522260,00.html

Mr. P
06-10-2010, 10:03 PM
The scientists were assured by officials from the Obama Administration's Office of Science and Technology Policy that the threats of space weather are a concern.

OMG ANOTHER TAX COMING!!!!

Seriously, I've been heard this talked about several times in the last few month. It could devastate the country. Who's getting prepared? All I've heard about is private industry, NOT the GOV.

SassyLady
06-10-2010, 11:35 PM
OMG ANOTHER TAX COMING!!!!

Seriously, I've been heard this talked about several times in the last few month. It could devastate the country. Who's getting prepared? All I've heard about is private industry, NOT the GOV.

Well, we are preparing....I'm looking at things that can be bartered because if we can't get access to our money, then how can we get necessities. Can anyone think about what will be considered valuable and yet not so much that people will kill you for it?

As for private industry being prepared....good. Maybe this is what needs to happen to the government .... a natural disaster will decimate it, wipe the slate clean and we can start over. Who knows?

SassyLady
06-11-2010, 02:16 PM
Today's Solar Flare News:


Electronic Armageddon? Congress Worries That Solar Flares Could Spell Disaster

Published June 10, 2010

http://www.foxnews.com/scitech/2010/06/10/electronic-armageddon-solar-flares-disaster/?test=latestnews

Astonishing new pictures from NASA that could help unlock the secrets of the sun -- 10 times clearer than high definition TV -- show giant flares and clouds of ionized gas erupting from the star.

High-energy electric pulses from the sun could surge to Earth and cripple our electrical grid for years, causing billions in damages, government officials and scientists worry.

The House is so concerned that the Energy and Commerce committee voted unanimously 47 to 0 to approve a bill allocating $100 million to protect the energy grid from this rare but potentially devastating occurrence.

so here's the tax we were talking about

The Grid Reliability and Infrastructure Defense Act, or H.R. 5026, aims "to amend the Federal Power Act to protect the bulk-power system and electric infrastructure critical to the defense of the United States against cybersecurity and other threats and vulnerabilities."

It cites electromagnetic pulses from geomagnetic or solar storms as the big threat to our energy distribution grid, and demands "an order directing the Electric Reliability Organization to submit … reliability standards adequate to protect the bulk-power system from any reasonably foreseeable geomagnetic storm event."

Solar storms occur when sunspots on our star erupt and spew out flumes of charged particles that can damage power systems. The sun's activity typically follows an 11-year cycle, and it looks to be coming out of a slump and gearing up for an active period.

"The sun is waking up from a deep slumber, and in the next few years we expect to see much higher levels of solar activity," said Richard Fisher, head of NASA's Heliophysics Division. "At the same time, our technological society has developed an unprecedented sensitivity to solar storms."

Fisher and other experts met Tuesday at the Space Weather Enterprise Forum to discuss the intersection of these two issues, and ways to protect society from nature's wrath.

A major solar storm could cause 20 times more economic damage than Hurricane Katrina, the National Academy of Sciences warned in a 2008 report, "Severe Space Weather Events—Societal and Economic Impacts."

And the North American Electric Reliability Corporation, while pointing out that "these risks are rare, and in some cases have never occurred," is nonetheless very concerned about the reality of geomagnetic events.

It a recently released report, NERC cited recent analysis by Metatech and Storm Analysis Consultants that suggests "the potential extremes of the geomagnetic threat environment may be much greater than previously anticipated. Geomagnetically induced currents on system infrastructure have the potential to result in widespread tripping of key transmission lines and irreversible physical damage to large transformers."

It's the fear of an EMP, specifically a high-altitude pulse caused by a solar event, that has Rep. Roscoe Bartlett (R-MD) worried.

“It would cost about $100 million to protect the grid from EMP," he said in a speech at the House. "The consequences of inaction are dire. If our grid is destroyed by EMP, the National Academies warn it would cost us between $1 trillion and $2 trillion in damages and take four to 10 years to recover.”

Next week National Geographic Explorer will air a special on the topic, which warns that the risk also comes from terrorists. In "Electronic Armageddon," Explorer asks the viewer to "picture an instantaneous deathblow to the vital engines that power our society -- delivered by a weapon specifically designed NOT to kill humans, but to kill electronics."

While predicting the odds of a nuclear HEMP attack from terrorist groups are less certain, most experts agree that another source of an EMP, the sun, is imminent,” the show warns.

Space.com contributed to this report.

I plan to watch this and educate myself a little more on the topic.

SassyLady
06-11-2010, 02:22 PM
More:


June 11, 2010
Solar Storms: Rising Threat to Technology
Sun Storm Cycle Entering Peak Period; Power Grid, Web Connections, Cell Phones, Satellite Vulnerable

Solar Storms May Interrupt Cell Phones

NASA says intense sun storms have the ability to knock out our power and cell phone signals. Whit Johnson reports.

Solar storms like this one pose a heightened threat to the technology we depend on, scientists say. (NASA)
The sun will be getting more active over the next few years and, reports CBS News Correspondent White Johnson, scientists are worried about the possible impact on all sorts of technology we take for granted, including satellites such storms could cripple.

NASA says there have been five sun storms in the past century, and others could be on their way. No one is sure when the next one could hit, but researchers are hard at work trying to come up with better prediction mechanisms as they try to better protect that tech.

The fiery explosions blistering the sun's surface have energy bursts with the strength of 1 billion hydrogen bombs.

"Now we are going into the peak of the solar cycle," explains NASA's Lika Guhathakurta, "and, as we approach the peak, what happens is that the magnetic field on the sun gets twisted and really tense."

Powerful electric charges can be sent rocketing toward earth.

In 1989, just a minor flare knocked out electricity to millions of Canadians.

"If you lose your Internet, if you lose your satellite connection, if you lose your electricity," Guhathakurta points out, "there is no Wall Sreet, there is nothing. It's almost throwing us back a hundred years."

Companies and governments are trying to develop better safeguards against the impact solar storms, Johnson notes. In fact, the House this week voted to spend $100 million to protect our power grid from this rare event.

http://www.cbsnews.com/stories/2010/06/11/earlyshow/main6571912.shtml